CM

Comcast Corp

CMCSA
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Comcast Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • P/E of 6.9x vs industry median 17.1x - trading at 60% discount despite 23% ROE TTM and 18.1B FCF generation[P/E Ratio]
  • Goodwill of 61.4B is 63% of equity (157B total intangibles) - tangible book value is negative 60B[Goodwill]
  • Debt/equity 1.02x with 99B total debt vs 18B FCF TTM - 5.5x FCF coverage, interest expense 4.4B well covered by 22B EBIT[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 15BWould push FCF yield below 15%, weakening core value thesis and dividend coverage
  • Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 15%Signals cord-cutting impact exceeding broadband gains - structural margin compression
  • Total Debt: Rises above 105BIndicates FCF being consumed by operations vs deleveraging - balance sheet deterioration

Bull Case

18% FCF yield with 6.9x P/E - extreme value if cash flows stabilize. 33B cash flow TTM funds dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction simultaneously.

Free Cash Flow TTMP/E RatioCash Flow TTM

Operating margin 18% is 2x industry median (8.9%) - scale economics in broadband/content create durable cost advantage across 123B revenue base.

Operating Margin TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

99B debt with negative tangible book (-60B) - if EBITDA declines 20%, debt/EBITDA jumps from 2.1x to 2.6x, limiting financial flexibility.

Total DebtTangible Book ValueEBITDA TTM

Intangibles of 157B (58% of assets) from NBCUniversal/Sky acquisitions - impairment risk if streaming/media underperforms expectations.

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTotal Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF yield compression as market recognizes cash generation vs depressed valuation

1-3ymed
  • 18.1B FCF TTM on 98B market cap = 18% FCF yield
  • Dividend yield 3.4% with 1.30/share payout
  • Debt paydown of 2.5B annually reduces leverage
FCF TTM 18.1B, market cap 98.3BNet debt issuance -2.5B TTMEBIT/interest coverage 7.2x

Cord-cutting acceleration could pressure revenue despite broadband strength

1-3ymed
  • Legacy cable faces structural decline
  • Peacock streaming requires continued investment
  • Capex of 14.8B TTM constrains FCF expansion
Capex TTM 14.8B (12% of revenue)Operating margin 18% vs 8.9% industry medianRevenue 123.3B - scale advantage
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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