CM

Costamare Inc

CMRE
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Costamare Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • ROE TTM of 14.2% vs industry median -12.7% - profitable in a sector where most peers lose money[Return on Equity]
  • Net margin 15.4% vs industry median -5.1% - 20+ percentage point advantage in capital-intensive shipping[Net Margin]
  • Capex of 450M TTM (22% of revenue) consuming 81% of operating cash flow - heavy reinvestment phase[Capital Expenditure]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow: Sustained above 200M annuallyWould signal capex cycle peaking and cash available for dividends/buybacks
  • Operating Margin: Falls below 15%Charter rate weakness would signal cycle turning - margin is key earnings driver
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 1.0xWould indicate aggressive fleet expansion funded by debt, increasing risk

Bull Case

Best-in-class profitability: Operating margin 21.5% and ROE 14.2% in sector where median peer is unprofitable. Zero goodwill means tangible book equals equity.

Operating MarginROEGoodwill

Strong balance sheet: 0.78x debt/equity, 505M cash, net debt/EBITDA of 1.8x provides flexibility for opportunistic fleet expansion or shareholder returns.

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsNet Debt

Bear Case

Capital intensity consuming cash: 450M capex TTM leaves only 106M FCF (5% FCF margin). Shipping requires continuous fleet renewal to maintain earnings.

Capital ExpenditureFree Cash Flow

Interest burden elevated: 118M interest expense TTM (5.7% of revenue) with 1.6B total debt. Rising rates or refinancing risk could compress margins.

Interest ExpenseTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
60%

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Forward Thesis

Cash generation to improve as fleet expansion capex normalizes

1-3ymed
  • FCF 106M TTM despite 450M capex
  • 505M cash provides runway
  • EBITDA 605M supports debt service
Operating cash flow 555M TTMDebt/equity 0.78x manageableInterest coverage 3.7x EBIT/interest
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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