CN

Concentrix Corp

CNXC
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Concentrix Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 5.2B is 120% of equity (4.3B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-2.9B), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • Interest expense TTM of 297M consumes 49% of operating income (609M) - debt service severely constrains flexibility[Interest Expense]
  • P/E of 8.4x vs industry median 26.7x while generating 516M FCF TTM - deep value or value trap territory[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announced5.2B goodwill vs 4.3B equity - even 20% impairment wipes out 25% of book value
  • Operating Margin: Falls below 5% TTMAt 6.3% now with 297M interest - margin compression triggers covenant concerns
  • Free Cash Flow: Drops below 400M TTMCurrent 516M barely covers interest + dividend - decline forces dividend cut

Bull Case

Extreme valuation discount: P/E 8.4x (69% below industry median 26.7x), P/S 0.25x, PCF 3.3x - priced for permanent decline that may not materialize

P/E RatioP/S RatioPCF Ratio

FCF generation of 516M TTM (21% of market cap) provides deleveraging path and 5.3% dividend yield cushion

Free Cash FlowDividends Paid Per Share

Bear Case

Balance sheet fragility: 4.8B debt, negative tangible equity (-2.9B), goodwill 120% of book - any impairment destroys equity

Total DebtGoodwillTangible Book Value

Structural headwinds: negative 3Y EPS CAGR (-13%), thin 3.3% net margin, ROIC (3.5%) below cost of capital

EPS Growth 3YNet MarginROIC

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Debt reduction will be primary capital allocation priority, limiting growth investment

1-3yhigh
  • 4.8B total debt at 1.1x D/E ratio
  • Interest expense consuming half of operating income
  • Only 350M cash vs 4.8B debt
Net debt 4.5B vs market cap 2.5BFCF of 516M can service but not rapidly reduce debtMinimal buybacks (42M TTM)

Margin compression risk as AI disrupts BPO services model

1-3ymed
  • Operating margin 6.3% already thin
  • Revenue 9.7B but net margin only 3.3%
  • High fixed cost structure with labor
EPS growth 3Y CAGR negative (-13%)Gross margin 35% vs 51% industry medianROIC only 3.5% TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

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