CN

CONX Corp

CNXX
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CONX Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Negative equity of -13.1M TTM with 200.6M debt creates 1,532% debt-to-assets ratio - technically insolvent balance sheet.[Total Equity]
  • Cash of 117.5M TTM vs minimal revenue (21K) - classic SPAC/shell structure burning cash seeking acquisition targets.[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Goodwill of 13.6M is -104% of negative equity TTM - any impairment deepens insolvency.[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 80MAt -31.7M FCF burn rate, sub-80M cash signals <2.5 years runway before forced action
  • Total Revenue: Exceeds 10M quarterlyAny material revenue signals successful acquisition integration and path to sustainability
  • Total Debt: Increases above 220M or covenant breachAdditional leverage on insolvent balance sheet would signal distress financing

Bull Case

117.5M cash (59% of assets TTM) provides runway for transformative acquisition while working capital of 119.2M covers near-term obligations.

Cash and EquivalentsWorking Capital

Active deal flow with 46M investment purchases and 10.5M business acquisitions TTM suggests management executing on deployment strategy.

Purchase of InvestmentPurchase of Business

Bear Case

200.6M debt on 21K revenue TTM is unsustainable - debt is 9,552x annual revenue with no operating income to service it.

Total DebtTotal Revenue

FCF of -31.7M TTM means cash runway of ~3.7 years maximum without successful value-creating acquisition or capital raise.

Free Cash FlowCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Company viability depends entirely on successful M&A deployment of 117.5M cash before debt obligations mature.

1-3ylow
  • 10.5M purchase of business TTM shows active deal pursuit
  • 200.6M total debt requires refinancing or acquisition success
  • Operating losses of -5.6M TTM accelerating cash burn
FCF of -31.7M TTM depleting reservesNet income 2.7M TTM from non-operating gains onlyOperating income -5.6M TTM shows no core business
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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