CR

Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Inc

CRNX
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Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Working capital of 1.0B covers 3 years of cash burn at current -354M FCF TTM rate, providing extended runway without dilution.[Working Capital]
  • R&D of 314M TTM is 204x revenue (1.5M) - pure clinical-stage bet with zero commercial validation yet.[Research and Development TTM]
  • P/S ratio of 2,927x vs industry median 4.1x reflects binary outcome pricing on pipeline success.[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Burn exceeds -450M/yearAccelerating burn cuts runway below 2 years, forcing dilutive raise at potentially weak terms.
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 50M (milestone/partnership)First material revenue validates pipeline value and extends runway without equity dilution.
  • Research and Development TTM: Drops below 250MR&D cuts signal pipeline narrowing or capital preservation mode - bearish for growth thesis.

Bull Case

Fortress balance sheet with 1.1B current assets and minimal debt (0.05 D/E) enables full pipeline prosecution without capital constraints through late-stage trials.

Current AssetsDebt to EquityWorking Capital

R&D intensity (314M vs 1.5M revenue) signals conviction in pipeline - any Phase 3 success could trigger 10x+ revenue inflection.

Research and Development TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

4.5B market cap on 1.5M revenue (2,927x P/S) prices in blockbuster success - any clinical setback could trigger 50%+ drawdown.

P/S RatioMarket Cap TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Revenue declined 32% over 3 years while burning 354M annually - no commercial traction despite years of R&D spend.

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Cash runway extends to 2028+ if burn rate stabilizes, avoiding near-term dilution.

1-3ymed
  • 1.1B current assets vs 74M current liabilities
  • Debt/equity at 0.05 leaves borrowing capacity
  • Interest income of 12.5M offsets some burn
Working capital 1.0B TTMFCF burn -354M TTMLong-term debt only 43M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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