CR

CoreWeave Inc

CRWV
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CoreWeave Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Gross margin 73.9% TTM vs industry median 51.5% - GPU cloud pricing power evident despite massive 9.7B capex build[Gross Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity 4.85x with 990M interest expense TTM consuming 6x operating income - capital structure fragility[Debt to Equity]
  • FCF -8.1B TTM while operating cash flow +1.7B - hypergrowth capex phase burning cash at unsustainable rate[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 1.2B or >50% of gross profitSignals debt spiral - gross profit 3.2B barely covers current interest + opex
  • Asset Turnover TTM: Falls below 0.15x or rises above 0.30xMeasures GPU utilization - current 0.18x must improve to justify 25B PPE
  • Current Debt: Refinancing terms or maturity extensions3.7B near-term debt vs 1.9B cash - refinancing risk is existential

Bull Case

74% gross margin on 4.3B revenue TTM proves GPU cloud economics work at scale - EBITDA 2.2B demonstrates path to profitability once capex normalizes

Gross Margin TTMEBITDA TTMTotal Revenue TTM

25.3B PPE infrastructure moat - competitors need years and billions to replicate GPU capacity already deployed

PPECapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Debt 4.85x equity with 990M annual interest - one demand slowdown or rate spike could trigger liquidity crisis with 3.7B current debt due

Debt to EquityInterest Expense TTMCurrent Debt

P/S 9.1x on -767M net loss with negative FCF -8.1B - priced for flawless execution with no margin for error

PS RatioNet Income TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Interest burden will compress margins unless revenue scales 3x+ within 24 months

1-3yhigh
  • Interest expense 990M vs operating income 156M TTM
  • 18.8B total debt requiring refinancing/servicing
  • Revenue must reach ~13B to cover interest at current margins
Operating margin 3.6% TTM after 74% gross marginNet income -767M TTM despite positive EBITDA 2.2BCurrent debt 3.7B due near-term

PPE investment of 25.3B positions for AI infrastructure dominance if demand persists

1-3ymed
  • PPE 77% of total assets - pure infrastructure play
  • Capex 9.7B TTM building GPU capacity
  • Asset turnover 0.18x suggests early utilization phase
Revenue 4.3B TTM on 25.3B PPE baseGross margin 74% indicates pricing powerEBITDA 2.2B shows unit economics work
Valuation Context
Caveats

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