CS

Capital Southwest Corp

CSWC
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Capital Southwest Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Net margin TTM of 65.4% vs industry median 95% - strong but below BDC peers; ROE 9.9% vs median 8.6% shows efficient capital deployment[Net Margin TTM]
  • FCF TTM is -266.6M due to BDC model deploying capital into loans; offset by 39.7M equity issuance funding growth[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Dividend yield of 18.8% (2.74/share TTM) exceeds EPS of 1.60 - payout ratio 171% signals NAV erosion risk[Dividends Paid Per Share TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • EPS TTM: Falls below 2.00 for 2 consecutive quartersWould widen dividend coverage gap beyond 35%, forcing cut or accelerated NAV erosion
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 1.25xBDC leverage limits typically 2:1; approaching ceiling constrains growth optionality
  • Net Margin TTM: Drops below 55%Would indicate spread compression from rising funding costs or credit losses

Bull Case

P/E 14.8x vs industry median 11.9x justified by superior ROE (9.9% vs 8.6%) and 29.9% 3Y revenue CAGR outpacing peers

PE RatioROE TTMTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Book value 14.61/share with P/B 1.62x implies market confidence in portfolio quality; tangible equity fully supports NAV

Book Value Per SharePB RatioTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Dividend of 2.74/share exceeds EPS of 1.60 TTM by 71% - unsustainable without NAV dilution or dividend cut

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMEPS TTM

5Y EPS CAGR of -12.9% despite revenue growth signals structural margin compression as rates normalize

EPS Growth 5YTotal Revenue 5Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Revenue growth momentum (29.9% 3Y CAGR) likely to moderate as rate environment normalizes

1-3ymed
  • Interest expense TTM 61.2M on 1.03B debt constrains spread
  • Debt/equity 1.09x limits incremental leverage capacity
  • EPS declined 8.3% YoY despite revenue growth
3Y revenue CAGR 29.9% vs 5Y CAGR 11.2%EPS growth 5Y: -12.9%Interest expense 46% of operating expense
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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