DA

Dare Bioscience Inc

DARE
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Dare Bioscience Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Cash runway critical: 23.1M cash vs -6.8M FCF TTM = ~3.4 years at current burn, but 18.7M recent equity raise extends runway[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Negative revenue (-57K TTM) signals pre-commercial stage; 8.1M R&D spend (47% of opex) indicates active pipeline development[Total Revenue TTM]
  • Debt/equity 1.03x with only 2.9M equity cushion - balance sheet fragile if dilution continues[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Turns positive or exceeds 1MFirst commercial revenue validates pipeline - transforms thesis from speculative to operational
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 15M without revenue progressWould signal imminent dilution or strategic pivot needed
  • Research and Development TTM: Declines >30% from 8.1MR&D cuts would indicate pipeline deprioritization or funding constraints

Bull Case

Extended runway (23M cash + 18.7M recent raise) provides 3+ years to achieve commercial milestones without immediate dilution pressure

Cash and EquivalentsNet Common Stock IssuanceFree Cash Flow TTM

EV of only 5.2M vs 8.1M annual R&D implies market assigns near-zero value to pipeline - asymmetric upside if any program succeeds

Enterprise ValueResearch and Development TTM

Bear Case

Pre-revenue biotech with negative 57K revenue, -17.5M operating loss TTM, and 94% gross profit decline YoY - no commercial traction

Total Revenue TTMOperating Income TTMGross Profit 1yr Growth

P/B of 8.9x on only 2.9M equity with 1.03x debt/equity - valuation assumes success not reflected in financials

PB RatioCommon Stockholders EquityDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Binary outcome: commercial milestone or continued dilution within 18 months

1-3ylow
  • Pre-revenue biotech with active R&D pipeline
  • Recent 18.7M capital raise signals near-term catalyst
  • Cash burn of 6.8M/year requires revenue or more raises
R&D 8.1M TTM vs 17.5M total opexNet stock issuance 18.7M in periodFCF -6.8M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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