Dollar General Corp
DGDollar General Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- EPS declined -18.1% (3Y CAGR) and -11.1% (5Y CAGR) despite 4.6% revenue growth TTM - margin compression accelerating[EPS Growth 3Y]
- Debt/equity at 2.02x with 16.5B total debt vs 8.2B equity; interest expense 244M TTM consuming 15% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
- P/E of 21.5x vs industry median 29.2x while FCF yield 8.5% (2.3B FCF / 27.5B market cap) - discount for deterioration[PE Ratio]
Watch Triggers
- Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 4.0% or recovers above 5.5% — Currently 4.5% at industry median; direction signals turnaround success or further deterioration
- ROIC TTM: Rises above 7% (industry median) or falls below 4% — At 5.1% TTM, capital allocation destroying value; improvement needed to justify expansion
- Debt to Equity: Exceeds 2.5x or debt reduction accelerates — At 2.0x with 244M interest expense; leverage limits strategic flexibility
Bull Case
Trading at 0.65x P/S (industry median 1.28x) and 21.5x P/E (median 29.2x) with 2.3B FCF TTM - valuation embeds significant pessimism already priced in
Revenue 42.1B growing 4.6% TTM vs industry median 4.1% with gross margin 30.4% stable - core business intact despite margin pressure
Bear Case
EPS declining -11% (5Y) and -18% (3Y) while debt/equity at 2.0x creates limited flexibility; ROIC 5.1% TTM below cost of capital
Goodwill 4.3B represents 53% of equity; tangible book value only 2.6B vs 27.5B market cap (10.4x P/TBV) - asset quality risk
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Margin recovery unlikely without structural cost reset; operating margin compressed to 4.5% TTM
- Operating expense 10.9B TTM growing faster than revenue
- Labor and shrink headwinds persist industry-wide
- Store count expansion diluting per-store economics
Defensive positioning may attract flows if consumer weakens further
- Value retail gains share in recessions
- 42.1B revenue base provides scale advantage
- 2.4% dividend yield with 28% payout ratio
Public Strategies Rankings
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DG Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$32.86B | — | ||
$48.13B | — | ||
26 | — | ||
$42.12B | +4.9% | — | |
$5.79 | -4.5% | — | |
4.49% | -0.5% | — | |
3.03% | -0.3% | — | |
$2.34B | +41.9% | — | |
0.16 | -2.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
DG Dividend History
2026
$0.59002025
$2.36002024
$2.36002023
$1.77002022
$2.62002021
$1.62002020
$1.40002019
$1.25002018
$1.13002017
$0.78002016
$1.00002015
$0.8800DG Stock Splits
DG SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
12/04/25 | 10/31/25 | 10-Q | |
08/28/25 | 08/01/25 | 10-Q | |
06/03/25 | 05/02/25 | 10-Q | |
03/21/25 | 01/31/25 | 10-K | |
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03/25/24 | 02/02/24 | 10-K | |
12/07/23 | 11/03/23 | 10-Q | |
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03/24/23 | 02/03/23 | 10-K | |
12/01/22 | 10/28/22 | 10-Q | |
08/25/22 | 07/29/22 | 10-Q | |
05/26/22 | 04/29/22 | 10-Q | |
03/18/22 | 01/28/22 | 10-K | |
12/02/21 | 10/29/21 | 10-Q | |
08/26/21 | 07/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/27/21 | 04/30/21 | 10-Q | |
03/19/21 | 01/29/21 | 10-K | |
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