The Walt Disney Co
DISThe Walt Disney Co AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Goodwill of 73.3B is 67% of equity (109.9B) - material impairment risk if streaming or parks underperform expectations.[Goodwill TTM]
- EPS 5Y CAGR of 86% vs industry median 15% - turnaround from pandemic losses now fully reflected in earnings power.[EPS Growth 5yr TTM]
- Operating margin 14.6% is 4x industry median (3.7%) - scale advantages in content amortization and parks operations.[Operating Margin TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 8B annually — Would signal streaming losses widening or parks capex exceeding guidance
- Goodwill TTM: Any impairment charge >5B — Fox acquisition goodwill at risk if linear TV decline accelerates
- Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 12% — Would indicate content cost inflation outpacing revenue growth
Bull Case
Irreplaceable IP portfolio (Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, ESPN) creates pricing power across parks, streaming, and licensing with 14.6% operating margins vs 3.7% industry.
Negative working capital (-9.9B) means customers prepay via park tickets and subscriptions - self-funding growth model.
Bear Case
44.9B total debt with 1.8B interest expense (0.41 D/E) limits flexibility; net debt 36.3B exceeds 1.9x EBITDA.
P/B of 7.1x vs tangible book of only 27.3B - paying 7x for intangibles that could face write-downs.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
FCF expansion to 12-14B likely as streaming losses reverse and parks capex normalizes
- Streaming segment approaching profitability inflection
- Parks capex cycle peaking at 8B annually
- Content cost discipline improving
Public Strategies Rankings
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DIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$201.81B | — | ||
$240.99B | — | ||
15 | — | ||
$94.42B | +3.4% | — | |
$7.21 | +69.8% | — | |
14.7% | +1.6% | — | |
13.1% | +7.7% | — | |
$10.08B | +17.7% | — | |
0.12 | +6.8% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
DIS Dividend History
DIS Stock Splits
DIS SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/13/25 | 09/27/25 | Unknown | |
08/06/25 | 06/28/25 | 10-Q | |
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11/14/24 | 09/28/24 | 10-K | |
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11/24/21 | 10/02/21 | 10-K | |
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11/25/20 | 10/03/20 | 10-K | |
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