DO

Healthpeak Properties Inc

DOC
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Healthpeak Properties Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-26

Snapshot

  • FCF of 1.2B TTM equals 100% of operating cash flow - zero capex drag enables full dividend coverage at 6.8% yield[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Debt/Equity of 1.24x with 9.4B total debt vs 91M cash - interest expense (295M TTM) consumes 57% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
  • Net income negative (-38M TTM) despite 521M operating income - 176M equity investment gains masking underlying weakness[Net Income TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 320M (>60% of operating income)Signals refinancing at higher rates eroding dividend coverage
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 850M (dividend payout)Would force dividend cut or debt-funded payout
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 1.5xApproaching levels that constrain refinancing options

Bull Case

FCF yield of 11% (1.2B FCF / 11.2B market cap) with 100% FCF conversion supports 6.8% dividend yield sustainably

Free Cash Flow TTMDividends Paid Per Share TTM

P/S of 4.0x below industry median 4.5x; P/CF of 9.0x vs median 12.4x - discount for healthcare REIT quality

PS RatioPCF Ratio

Bear Case

Net debt of 9B is 4.6x market cap with only 91M cash - refinancing 368M current debt at higher rates compresses FFO

Net DebtCurrent DebtCash and Equivalents

Negative net income (-38M TTM) and negative ROE (-0.5%) despite GAAP operating profit - structural earnings gap

Net Income TTMROE TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Interest rate sensitivity will dominate returns - 295M annual interest on 9.4B debt creates binary outcome

1-3yhigh
  • 9.4B debt at current rates vs 91M cash
  • Interest expense is 57% of operating income
  • 368M current debt maturing near-term
Interest Expense TTM: 295MOperating Income TTM: 521MCurrent Debt: 368M
Valuation Context
Caveats

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