EE

EpicQuest Education Group International Ltd

EEIQ
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EpicQuest Education Group International Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 2.7M is 50% of equity (5.3M) with negative tangible book value (-1.7M) - asset quality severely impaired[Goodwill]
  • Operating margin -55.7% TTM vs industry median +10.3% - burning 5.2M annually on 9.4M revenue[Operating Margin]
  • Cash of 334K with -1.7M FCF TTM gives ~2 quarters runway without capital raise[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 200K or new financing announcedImminent dilution or bankruptcy risk with current burn rate
  • G&A Expense: Quarterly G&A drops below 2M (vs ~2.3M/quarter now)First signal management is rightsizing cost structure
  • Operating Margin: Improves to -30% or betterPath to breakeven becomes visible at current revenue trajectory

Bull Case

Revenue grew 45% TTM with gross margin of 67.6% (above industry median 55.3%) - unit economics viable if scale achieved

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Margin

P/S of 0.39x vs industry median 1.14x - if turnaround succeeds, multiple expansion potential

P/S Ratio

Bear Case

G&A of 9.4M TTM exceeds total revenue of 9.4M - cost structure fundamentally broken for current scale

G&A ExpenseTotal Revenue

ROIC of -36.3% TTM destroying capital; negative tangible book means equity cushion is accounting fiction

ROICTangible Book Value

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Capital raise or asset sale required within 6 months to avoid liquidity crisis

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn of 1.7M/year vs 334K cash
  • Working capital deficit of -4.0M
  • Current liabilities 6.4M exceed current assets 2.5M
FCF TTM: -1.7MCash: 334KCurrent ratio: 0.38x

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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