EL

Elme Communities

ELME
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Elme Communities AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • 111.7M impairment charge (TTM) drove -134.8M net loss; underlying normalized EBITDA of 21.6M shows operational viability masked by write-down.[Impairment of Capital Assets]
  • FCF of 86.4M (TTM) vs -134.8M net income reveals cash generation despite GAAP losses; 35% FCF margin on revenue.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • 186M current debt with only 7.1M cash creates near-term refinancing pressure; working capital at -225.7M.[Current Debt]

Watch Triggers

  • Current Debt: Refinancing terms or extension announced186M maturity vs 7.1M cash is existential; terms dictate equity dilution risk
  • Impairment of Capital Assets: Additional write-downs in next 2 quartersFurther impairments signal portfolio quality issues beyond one-time adjustment
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 60M annualizedThreatens dividend coverage and debt service capacity

Bull Case

FCF of 86.4M (TTM) covers 0.72/share dividend 5.4x over; P/B of 1.69x near tangible book of 908.9M suggests limited downside to NAV.

Free Cash Flow TTMP/B RatioTangible Book Value

Gross margin 59.3% (TTM) above industry median 61%; operating platform intact despite impairment-driven losses.

Gross Margin TTMOperating Income TTM

Bear Case

186M current debt maturing with only 7.1M cash; refinancing at higher rates could compress already thin 6.1% operating margin.

Current DebtCash and EquivalentsOperating Margin TTM

Interest expense 38M (TTM) consumes 2.5x operating income of 15M; debt/equity 0.78x with negative ROIC (-7.9%).

Interest Expense TTMROIC TTMDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Impairment-adjusted earnings will normalize, revealing 8-10% FCF yield on current EV.

1-3ymed
  • 86.4M FCF on 2.2B EV = 3.9% yield, but impairment non-recurring
  • Normalized EBITDA 21.6M understates run-rate after write-downs
  • Dividend of 0.72/share (4.1% yield) covered by FCF
FCF 86.4M TTM vs net loss -134.8MImpairment 111.7M is one-time chargeDividend paid 15.9M vs FCF 86.4M = 5.4x coverage
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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