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Enel Chile SA

ENIC
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Enel Chile SA AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • FCF of 1.2B TTM vs net income of 51M - cash generation 24x reported earnings, masking true profitability[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Interest expense of 165M TTM exceeds net income (51M) by 3x - debt servicing consuming 50% of EBIT[Interest Expense TTM]
  • Revenue down 11% YoY with gross profit down 18% - negative operating leverage accelerating margin compression[Total Revenue 1Yr Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • ROIC TTM: Rises above 4% (approaching cost of debt)Current 0.6% ROIC signals value destruction; crossing debt cost indicates turnaround
  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Increases above 500M annuallyWould signal catch-up investment cycle beginning, pressuring FCF
  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 200M (refinancing at higher rates)Already consuming 50% of EBIT; increase would threaten dividend coverage

Bull Case

FCF yield of 20% (1.2B FCF / 5.9B market cap) with dividend yield of 5.3% provides income floor while trading at 1.5x book

Free Cash Flow TTMP/B RatioDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Asset-heavy utility with 7.9B PPE and 3.9B tangible book provides downside protection at current 1.7x P/TBV

PPETangible Book ValueP/B Ratio

Bear Case

ROIC of 0.6% TTM vs debt cost ~6% destroys value - earning below cost of capital on 7.6B invested

ROIC TTMInterest Expense TTMInvested Capital

P/E of 56x on declining earnings (-32% YoY EPS) prices in recovery that fundamentals don't support

P/E RatioEPS Growth 1YrNet Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

FCF yield compression likely as capex normalizes from current 9% of revenue

1-3ymed
  • Capex TTM only 321M vs 7.9B PPE base (4% replacement rate)
  • Aging infrastructure will require catch-up investment
  • Current FCF margin of 34% unsustainable
Capex TTM: 321M vs PPE: 7.9BFCF TTM: 1.2B (34% of revenue)Depreciation TTM: 303M exceeds capex

Debt refinancing risk as 2.9B total debt faces higher rate environment

1-3ymed
  • Interest expense already 165M on 2.9B debt (5.8% avg rate)
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 3.6x limits flexibility
  • Only 373M cash vs 100M current debt
Total Debt: 2.9B, Interest: 165M TTMNet Debt: 2.1B, EBITDA: 600M TTMCash: 373M vs Current Debt: 100M
Valuation Context
Caveats

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