EO

EOG Resources Inc

EOG
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EOG Resources Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • ROIC of 15.3% TTM is 3x industry median (5.1%), signaling superior capital allocation in a capital-intensive sector.[Return on Invested Capital]
  • 5Y EPS CAGR of 78.8% vs industry median 12.2% - 6.5x outperformance despite commodity exposure.[EPS Growth 5yr]
  • Debt/equity of 0.27 with 3.5B cash vs 8.1B total debt - net debt only 14% of equity, rare for E&P.[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 25%Would signal cost inflation or pricing pressure eroding competitive advantage vs peers.
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Declines below 2.5BWould pressure dividend sustainability (currently 2.2B annual payout) and force capital allocation tradeoffs.
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 0.5Would indicate balance sheet deterioration, reducing flexibility in commodity downturns.

Bull Case

Best-in-class operator: 33% operating margin (1.8x industry median) with 15% ROIC drives compounding even in flat commodity prices.

Operating Margin TTMROIC TTMROE TTM

Shareholder returns sustainable: 3.84 dividend/share (3.5% yield) covered 2.5x by 10.79 EPS with fortress balance sheet.

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMEPS TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

Commodity price dependency: 22.6B revenue entirely tied to oil/gas prices; 2024 weakness could compress margins despite operational excellence.

Total Revenue TTMNet Margin TTM

Heavy reinvestment required: 6.3B capex (28% of revenue) needed to maintain production; FCF margin only 17% vs 45% operating cash margin.

Capital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
62%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation to accelerate as 6.3B capex cycle matures into production growth.

1-3ymed
  • Capex/revenue ratio of 28% TTM vs 17% FCF margin
  • PPE of 42.6B approaching full development
  • Operating cash flow 10.2B provides reinvestment runway
FCF 3.9B TTM despite heavy capexOperating margin 33.4% vs industry 18%Net debt only 4.2B
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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