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FibroBiologics Inc

FBLG
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FibroBiologics Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of 16.3M TTM vs 4.9M cash on hand = ~3.6 months runway without new financing[Cash Flow TTM]
  • Debt/Equity of 57x with total debt 7.1M against 125K equity - balance sheet structurally impaired[Debt to Equity]
  • Zero revenue pre-clinical biotech burning 8M R&D TTM - binary outcome dependent on pipeline success[Total Revenue TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2M or new financing announcedSub-2M triggers going concern; financing terms reveal dilution severity
  • Research and Development TTM: Drops >30% from 8M baselineR&D cuts signal pipeline abandonment or pivot - existential for pre-revenue biotech
  • Total Revenue TTM: Any revenue recognition >0First revenue (licensing, partnership) validates platform and extends runway

Bull Case

Micro-cap (11.2M market cap) with 8M R&D spend suggests meaningful pipeline activity; any positive clinical data could drive outsized returns

Research and Development TTMMarket Cap TTM

P/B of 90x reflects option value on fibroblast cell therapy platform - success in any indication transforms valuation

P/B RatioEnterprise Value

Bear Case

3.6-month cash runway with 57x leverage leaves zero margin for error - equity likely diluted 50%+ in next financing

Cash and EquivalentsDebt to EquityCash Flow TTM

Zero revenue, -18.5M net loss TTM, negative equity trajectory - fundamentally uninvestable without catalyst

Total Revenue TTMNet Income TTMTotal Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Imminent dilution or debt raise required within 6 months to avoid operational shutdown

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn rate 16.3M/year vs 4.9M cash
  • Negative working capital of -1.5M
  • No revenue to offset expenses
End cash position 4.9M TTMFCF -16.7M TTMWorking capital -1.5M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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