FC

First Community Bankshares Inc

FCBC
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First Community Bankshares Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 144M is 28% of equity (511M) - acquisition-heavy strategy creates impairment risk if regional economy weakens[Goodwill]
  • Net margin TTM 31.8% vs industry median 25.8% - superior cost discipline in community banking model[Net Margin TTM]
  • Zero debt with 0.0 debt/equity while paying 4.6% dividend yield ($1.24/share TTM) - rare capital return without leverage[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Negative for 2+ consecutive quartersConfirms structural decline vs temporary; dividend sustainability at risk
  • Net Margin TTM: Falls below 28%Margin compression would eliminate key competitive advantage vs peers
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announced144M goodwill writedown would reduce equity 28%, spike P/B ratio

Bull Case

FCF conversion of 97% (55.3M FCF on 57.3M cash flow TTM) with minimal capex (2M) supports dividend and opportunistic M&A without debt

free_cash_flow_ttmcapital_expenditure_ttmdebt_to_equity

P/E 12.6x at industry median with P/B 1.8x on tangible book of 355M - no premium despite superior margins

pe_ratiopb_ratiotangible_book_value

Bear Case

Revenue declining -0.3% while industry median grows 10% - market share erosion or deposit flight risk

total_revenue_1yr_growthtotal_revenue_ttm

ROA 1.5% vs industry median 1.0% looks strong but absolute returns muted - limited upside in low-growth regional bank

roa_ttmroe_ttmtotal_assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk if revenue decline (-0.3% TTM) persists beyond 2 quarters

3-12mmed
  • Revenue contracted 0.3% YoY
  • Dividend payout consuming 11% of FCF
  • No debt capacity buffer
Revenue 1Y growth -0.3%Dividends paid 5.7M vs FCF 55.3MDebt/equity 0.0

ROE compression likely as interest rate environment normalizes from current 9.6% level

1-3ymed
  • ROE 9.6% near industry median 10%
  • Interest income 35.7M vulnerable to rate cuts
  • Asset turnover 4.8% below median 3.8%
ROE TTM 9.6%Interest income 35.7MAsset turnover 4.8%
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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