FM

Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CV

FMX
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Fomento Economico Mexicano SAB de CV AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-07

Snapshot

  • P/E of 1.9x and P/B of 0.35x on 829.6B MXN revenue TTM - trading at extreme discount to book value despite 9% revenue growth[P/E Ratio]
  • Net margin of 2.0% TTM despite 41% gross margin - 269B operating expenses consuming 32% of revenue, signaling operational inefficiency[Net Profit Margin]
  • Goodwill of 145.8B is 60% of equity (243.8B) - impairment risk material given compressed margins[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Sustained above 10%Would signal cost rationalization working - current 8.7% leaves no margin of safety
  • Interest Expense TTM: Decline below 15BInterest exceeds net income; reduction directly flows to bottom line
  • EPS Growth 1Y: Return to positive growthCurrent -0.7% despite 9% revenue growth indicates operating leverage broken

Bull Case

Extreme valuation discount: P/E 1.9x, P/B 0.35x, P/S 0.04x on business generating 829.6B revenue with 9% growth TTM. Even modest margin improvement creates significant upside.

P/E RatioP/B RatioTotal Revenue TTM

Strong balance sheet optionality: 123.6B cash, 75.4B working capital, net debt only 24.5B. Can fund restructuring or M&A without dilution.

Cash and EquivalentsWorking CapitalNet Debt

Bear Case

Structural margin compression: Operating margin 8.7% TTM with EPS declining 0.7% YoY despite 9% revenue growth. Cost structure appears broken.

Operating Margin TTMEPS Growth 1YOperating Expense TTM

Interest burden consuming profits: 18.7B interest expense TTM exceeds net income of 16.3B. ROE of 6.0% barely exceeds cost of debt.

Interest Expense TTMNet Income TTMROE TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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40%

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Forward Thesis

Margin recovery from 2% to 4% net margin would double EPS on stable revenue base

1-3ymed
  • Operating expense rationalization
  • Interest expense reduction from deleveraging
  • Revenue scale leverage on fixed costs
41% gross margin TTM shows pricing power intactInterest expense 18.7B vs 16.3B net income TTMRevenue 5Y CAGR 11.2% provides scale runway

Valuation gap to book value closes as debt/equity normalizes from 1.06x

1-3ylow
  • Cash of 123.6B covers 48% of total debt
  • Positive working capital of 75.4B provides flexibility
P/B 0.35x implies 65% discount to equityNet debt only 24.5B vs 243.8B equity
Valuation Context
Caveats

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