FP

Farmland Partners Inc

FPI
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Farmland Partners Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Operating margin TTM 42.3% vs industry median 12.3% - 3.4x advantage from asset-light farmland model with minimal cost of revenue (21% of sales)[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Net margin 130% TTM driven by $63M gain on asset sales - core operations mask one-time boost; normalized EBITDA only $5.7M vs reported $85.5M[Net Margin TTM]
  • Revenue declining 5% 3Y CAGR while EPS grew 563% 1Y and 35% 3Y CAGR - earnings quality questionable without top-line growth[EPS Growth 1Y TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Normalized EBITDA: Falls below $5M or interest coverage <1xCore operations already marginal; debt service at risk without asset sales
  • Total Revenue TTM: Continues declining >5% annuallySignals accelerating portfolio liquidation rather than growth strategy
  • Gain on Sale of PPE: Exceeds $50M annuallyIndicates reliance on asset sales for earnings sustainability

Bull Case

Trades at 1.0x P/B with $445M tangible book value and 0.38 debt/equity - hard asset backing provides downside protection in farmland REIT

P/B RatioTangible Book ValueDebt to Equity

42% operating margin with 79% gross margin demonstrates pricing power on leased farmland; 14.4% ROE exceeds industry median 8.6%

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTMROE TTM

Bear Case

Normalized EBITDA $5.7M vs reported $85.5M reveals 93% of earnings from non-recurring items; P/E 26x on inflated earnings masks true valuation

Normalized EBITDAP/E RatioGain on Sale of PPE

Revenue -5% 3Y CAGR with $170M debt at 0.38 D/E; interest expense $10.4M consumes 62% of normalized EBITDA

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthInterest Expense TTMTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Asset monetization strategy will exhaust gains, revealing weaker core operations within 12-24 months

1-3ymed
  • Normalized EBITDA $5.7M vs reported $85.5M (93% gap)
  • Revenue -5% 3Y CAGR shows shrinking asset base
  • $4M PPE sales TTM depleting farmland portfolio
Gain on sale PPE -$531K TTMTotal revenue $52.9M decliningFCF $16.8M relies on asset sales
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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