GD

GoDaddy Inc

GDDY
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GoDaddy Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Negative working capital of -1.3B means customers prepay - GDDY funds operations with customer cash, not debt[Working Capital]
  • FCF margin 31.6% (1.5B TTM) with capex under 1% of revenue - near-pure software economics despite hosting infrastructure[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Goodwill 3.6B is 40x equity (91.8M) - any impairment would wipe out book value entirely[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 1.3B or FCF margin drops under 25%Entire bull case rests on FCF generation - any deterioration invalidates buyback thesis
  • Working Capital: Turns positive or negative balance shrinks materiallyNegative WC is structural advantage - reversal signals customer behavior shift
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announcedWould eliminate equity and potentially trigger debt covenant issues

Bull Case

Capital-light model: 31.6% FCF margin with sub-1% capex intensity enables aggressive buybacks at 8.7% FCF yield without leverage increase

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMWorking Capital

Operating margin 22.2% vs industry median -2.4% - pricing power from SMB lock-in and domain renewal economics

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTM

Bear Case

Debt/equity 42x with tangible book value -4.5B - balance sheet entirely dependent on intangible asset valuations

Debt to EquityTangible Book ValueGoodwill

P/S 3.6x vs median 1.4x and P/E 21.5x vs median 16x - premium valuation leaves little margin for execution miss

PS RatioPE Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
60%

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Forward Thesis

FCF per share growth to accelerate as buybacks compress share count against stable FCF generation

1-3yhigh
  • 1.5B annual FCF vs 17.7B market cap = 8.7% FCF yield
  • Minimal capex needs (31M TTM) preserve cash for returns
  • Negative working capital scales with revenue growth
FCF 1.5B TTM, capex only 31MEPS growth 16.5% 1Y, 30.7% 5Y CAGRWorking capital -1.3B

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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