GE

GE Aerospace

GE
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GE Aerospace AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • ROE of 42.8% TTM vs industry median 2.1% - 20x advantage driven by asset-light transformation post-spin[Return on Equity TTM]
  • Operating margin 20.5% TTM vs industry median 3.6% - pricing power in aerospace duopoly with Boeing[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Goodwill 9B is 48% of equity 18.8B - legacy acquisition risk embedded in balance sheet[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 18%Signals aftermarket mix shift stalling or pricing pressure from airlines
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 5BThreatens dividend sustainability and buyback capacity
  • Total Revenue 5yr Growth: Remains negativeValidates bear case that premium valuation lacks growth support

Bull Case

Aerospace duopoly with Pratt & Whitney creates pricing power - 20.5% operating margin vs 3.6% industry median with ROIC of 20.6% TTM on 39.7B invested capital

Operating Margin TTMROIC TTMGross Margin TTM

FCF of 6.4B TTM funds 1.8B buybacks and 1.4B dividends while maintaining 12.5B cash - shareholder returns without leverage risk

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and EquivalentsNet Common Stock Issuance

Bear Case

P/E 35.5x vs industry median 21.4x and P/B 55.7x prices in perfection - 5yr revenue CAGR negative 8% suggests growth premium unearned

PE RatioPB RatioTotal Revenue 5yr Growth

Total debt 20.8B at 1.1x equity with 817M interest expense TTM - rising rates pressure FCF conversion

Total DebtDebt to EquityInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Aftermarket services mix shift will expand margins 200-300bps over 3 years

1-3yhigh
  • Installed engine base of 44K+ units aging into high-margin service cycles
  • LEAP engine fleet maturing drives parts/service revenue
  • Defense backlog provides revenue visibility
Operating margin 20.5% TTM already 5.7x industryFCF 6.4B TTM on 44B revenue = 14.7% conversionR&D 1.5B sustains competitive moat

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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