GN

Global Net Lease Inc

GNL
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Global Net Lease Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Interest expense (283M TTM) exceeds operating income (219M) - debt service consuming 129% of operating profits, unsustainable without refinancing.[Interest Expense]
  • Debt/equity of 1.74x with 2.95B total debt vs 1.7B equity; 663M current debt due within 12 months against 165M cash.[Debt to Equity]
  • Gross profit down 12.3% YoY despite 82% gross margin TTM - revenue contraction driving earnings deterioration.[Gross Profit 1 Year Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Current Debt: Refinancing announcement or maturity extension663M due near-term; failure to refinance forces asset fire sales or dilutive equity raise
  • Interest Expense: Falls below Operating IncomeCurrently 129% coverage gap; positive spread needed for sustainable operations
  • Dividends Paid Per Share: Dividend reinstatementWould signal management confidence in stabilized cash flows and reduced distress

Bull Case

FCF of 203M TTM positive despite net loss; low capex (39M) preserves cash. Asset sales could deleverage balance sheet.

Free Cash FlowCapital Expenditure

Gross margin of 82% TTM well above industry median (61%) - core real estate assets generate strong operating cash flow.

Gross Margin

Bear Case

Net loss of -280M TTM with ROE of -14% and ROIC of -4.7%; destroying shareholder value while servicing 2.95B debt load.

Net IncomeROEROIC

Dividend suspended (0 TTM) signals distress; 4.8B asset base generating only 751M revenue (12% asset turnover) - inefficient capital deployment.

Dividends Paid Per ShareAsset Turnover

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Liquidity crisis likely within 12 months unless debt restructured or assets sold

3-12mhigh
  • 663M current debt vs 165M cash
  • Negative working capital of -385M
  • Interest expense exceeds operating income
Current debt 4x cash on handNet loss of -280M TTMNet debt repayment of 810M in period
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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