GN

Gentex Corp

GNTX
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Gentex Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 19.0% TTM vs industry median 3.7% - 5x advantage with near-zero debt (0.002 D/E)[Operating Margin]
  • FCF of 471M TTM (19% yield on revenue) funds 30M buybacks + 26M dividends while holding 179M cash[Free Cash Flow]
  • Goodwill 631M is 25% of equity - manageable but watch for impairment given 2.2M charge TTM[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]

Watch Triggers

  • EPS Growth 5yr: Turns positive above 5%Would signal turnaround from -0.6% trajectory and justify multiple re-rating
  • Gross Margin: Falls below 30% TTMCurrently 33.7% - compression would signal pricing pressure from OEMs
  • Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets: Impairment charge exceeds 50M631M intangibles at risk if auto demand weakens materially

Bull Case

Fortress balance sheet (0.002 D/E, 774M working capital) with 15.4% ROE TTM creates durable compounder at 14x P/E - trades at 35% discount to industry median multiple

Debt to EquityROEP/E RatioWorking Capital

FCF conversion 76% of operating cash flow (471M/616M TTM) with minimal capex needs enables sustained capital returns without growth dependency

Free Cash FlowCash FlowCapital Expenditure

Bear Case

EPS declined 0.6% over 5 years while industry grew 13.8% - structural growth problem in maturing auto mirror market limits upside

EPS Growth 5yrTotal Revenue

Inventory 499M (41% of current assets) with 384M receivables signals working capital tied up in slow-turning auto supply chain

InventoryAccounts ReceivableAsset Turnover

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation sustains 3-4% dividend + buyback yield without leverage

1-3yhigh
  • 19% FCF margin with capex only 6% of revenue
  • Debt/equity 0.002 leaves balance sheet optionality
  • 29% 5yr payout ratio leaves room for dividend growth
FCF 471M TTM vs 56M combined returnsTotal debt 4.1M on 2.5B equityDividend payout ratio 29% vs industry 1.2%

EPS stagnation (-0.6% 5yr CAGR) limits multiple expansion despite quality metrics

1-3ymed
  • Revenue 2.4B growing below industry leaders
  • R&D 197M (8% of revenue) may not drive growth
  • Auto sector cyclicality constrains pricing power
EPS growth -0.6% 5yr vs industry median 13.8%P/E 14.0 vs industry 21.5 - discount priced inR&D 197M TTM with flat earnings trajectory
Valuation Context
Caveats

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