GR

GRI Bio Inc

GRI
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GRI Bio Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-23

Snapshot

  • Zero revenue pre-clinical biotech burning 9.2M TTM cash with only 4.1M remaining - ~5 months runway at current rate[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Negative enterprise value (-3.1M) as cash exceeds tiny 0.9M market cap - trading below liquidation value[Enterprise Value]
  • R&D of 6.1M TTM is 54% of total opex - focused spend but insufficient scale for meaningful clinical progress[Research and Development]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2M or financing announcedSignals imminent dilution event or potential bankruptcy risk
  • Shares Outstanding: Increases >50% from 2.6MQuantifies dilution impact on per-share value
  • Research and Development: Quarterly spend drops below 1MWould indicate wind-down of operations vs continued development

Bull Case

Negative EV (-3.1M) means market assigns zero value to pipeline - any clinical success creates asymmetric upside from sub-1M market cap base

enterprise_valuemarket_cap_ttm

Minimal debt (84K, 0.04 D/E) and clean balance sheet makes company attractive acquisition target for larger pharma seeking pipeline assets

debt_to_equitytotal_debt

Bear Case

5-month cash runway guarantees imminent dilution - 2.6M shares outstanding will likely multiply, crushing existing shareholders

cash_and_equivalentsshares_outstandingfree_cash_flow_ttm

Zero revenue with -99% EPS growth YoY signals deteriorating fundamentals; R&D spend too small for competitive clinical development

total_revenue_ttmeps_growth_1yr_ttmresearch_and_development_ttm

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Dilutive financing or strategic transaction required within 6 months to survive

3-12mhigh
  • 4.1M cash vs 9.2M annual burn
  • 1.6M equity issuance already in TTM
  • No revenue pathway visible
Cash runway ~5 months at TTM burnFCF -9.2M TTMZero revenue TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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