GT

Gray Media Inc

GTN

Build a strategy around GTN

Accountable AI Logo

Gray Media Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • Interest expense of 477M TTM consumes 76% of EBIT (606M), leaving only 94M net income despite 625M operating income.[Interest Expense]
  • Tangible book value is -6.0B with goodwill/intangibles of 8.1B representing 79% of total assets - significant impairment risk.[Tangible Book Value]
  • Revenue down 21% YoY (TTM) vs industry median -2.8% - secular decline accelerating faster than peers.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense: Exceeds 85% of EBITSignals debt trap - no earnings left for equity after servicing
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 400MRemoves debt paydown optionality, forces refinancing at higher rates
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announcedWould signal management acknowledging asset value destruction

Bull Case

Operating margin of 18.7% TTM vs industry median 5.5% shows cost discipline; 440M FCF provides debt paydown optionality if revenue stabilizes.

Operating Margin TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

EBITDA of 879M TTM (26% margin) generates real cash despite revenue headwinds; net debt/EBITDA of 6.2x manageable if maintained.

EBITDA TTMNet Debt

Bear Case

Revenue decline of 21% YoY with gross profit down 48% signals structural deterioration; fixed costs amplify margin pressure.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Goodwill of 2.6B (122% of equity) at risk of impairment given revenue trajectory; would eliminate remaining equity cushion.

GoodwillCommon Stockholders Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

Leverage GTN's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Debt servicing will consume increasing share of declining cash flows, limiting strategic flexibility

1-3yhigh
  • 5.7B debt at 2.6x D/E with 477M annual interest
  • Revenue declining 21% YoY with no stabilization signal
  • FCF of 440M barely covers interest with minimal cushion
Net debt 5.4B vs 182M cashInterest/EBIT coverage only 1.27x3Y revenue CAGR -6.2%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Gray Media Inc ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage GTN's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.