GW

Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc

GWAV
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Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-30

Snapshot

  • FCF TTM of -34.1M on 32.1M revenue - burning more cash than generating sales. Cash runway under 6 months at current burn rate.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Operating margin -61% vs industry median +3% - structural cost problem with OpEx (32.8M) exceeding revenue (32.1M).[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Goodwill/intangibles of 16.2M represents 39% of equity (41.5M) - impairment risk given operating losses.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 3M or equity raise announcedAt -18M annual burn, sub-3M cash signals months to insolvency
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to -30% or betterWould indicate cost restructuring gaining traction
  • Current Liabilities: Rises above 25M or debt covenant breachAlready 1.6x current assets - further deterioration triggers crisis

Bull Case

5-year revenue CAGR of 341% shows demand exists. Gross margin 41% (above industry median 35%) indicates viable unit economics if scale achieved.

Total Revenue 5-Year Growth TTMGross Margin TTM

P/B ratio of 0.0009 implies market values equity at near-zero - any turnaround creates asymmetric upside from 22K market cap.

P/B RatioMarket Cap TTM

Bear Case

Negative working capital (-7.5M) with current debt (8.2M) exceeding cash (5.5M) creates imminent liquidity crisis. Dilution or bankruptcy likely.

Working CapitalCurrent DebtCash and Equivalents

ROE -87%, ROIC -45% TTM - destroying capital at accelerating pace. Interest expense (4.0M) consumes 12% of revenue.

ROE TTMROIC TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
15%

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Forward Thesis

Cash crisis likely within 12 months without equity raise or operational turnaround

3-12mhigh
  • 5.5M cash vs -18M TTM operating cash burn
  • Current liabilities (20.1M) exceed current assets (12.6M)
  • No path to profitability visible in current structure
Working capital -7.5M TTMFCF -34.1M on 32.1M revenueNet income -20.5M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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