HR

Horizon Technology Finance Corp

HRZN
Accountable AI Logo

Horizon Technology Finance Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • Negative TTM revenue (-14.5M) with 33M interest expense signals portfolio stress - interest income (24.3M) insufficient to cover debt costs[Total Revenue TTM]
  • Trading at 0.96x book value (6.89/share) while generating -7.3% ROE TTM - discount reflects earnings destruction[Price to Book Ratio]
  • FCF of 60.9M TTM vs 13.5M dividends paid masks reality - funded by 10.6M equity issuance, diluting shareholders[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Income: Falls below 20M quarterlyFurther compression signals accelerating portfolio deterioration and dividend cut
  • Net Common Stock Issuance: Exceeds 15M quarterlyIncreased dilution indicates inability to fund operations from portfolio cash flows
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 1.5xBDC leverage limits typically cap at 2x - approaching regulatory constraints

Bull Case

Below-book valuation (0.96x P/B) offers margin of safety if credit losses stabilize - tangible book of 316M supports 6.89/share floor

Price to Book RatioTangible Book Value

PCF ratio of 5.0x vs industry 9.8x median suggests cash generation optionality if portfolio performs

Price to Cash Flow RatioFree Cash Flow TTM

Bear Case

Structural unprofitability: interest expense (33M) exceeds interest income (24.3M) - negative spread destroys equity value

Interest Expense TTMInterest Income

ROE of -7.3% and ROIC of -3.2% TTM indicate capital destruction - 1.34x leverage amplifies losses

ROE TTMROIC TTMDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

Leverage HRZN's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk - 1.32/share payout requires portfolio turnaround within 12 months

3-12mhigh
  • Net income TTM of -23.9M cannot support current dividend
  • Debt/equity of 1.34x limits refinancing flexibility
  • Continued equity issuance dilutes existing holders
EPS TTM of -0.63 vs 1.32 dividend paid424M total debt on 316M equity10.6M net stock issuance TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Horizon Technology Finance Corp ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage HRZN's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.