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ICU Medical Inc

ICUI

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ICU Medical Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 1.5B is 70% of equity with negative tangible book value (-36M) - acquisition-heavy balance sheet creates impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • Interest expense of 97M TTM consumes 75% of operating income (129M) - debt service severely constrains profitability[Interest Expense]
  • P/E of 835x vs industry median 32x despite negative net income (-7M TTM) - valuation disconnected from fundamentals[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense: Exceeds 100M annually or >80% of operating incomeSignals debt spiral - current 75% coverage ratio leaves minimal margin for error
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge or write-down announcement1.5B goodwill vs 2.1B equity - impairment would devastate book value
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 50M or turns negative62M FCF barely services 1.4B debt - deterioration threatens solvency

Bull Case

Operating margin 5.6% TTM positive vs industry median -5% - profitable in unprofitable sector with 328M EBITDA providing debt coverage

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTM

EPS growth 56% 3Y CAGR vs industry 5% median shows operational turnaround despite revenue headwinds

EPS Growth 3Y TTMTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Bear Case

Revenue declining -3.5% 3Y while industry grows 6% - losing market share with gross margin 36% below industry median 53%

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthGross Margin TTM

Negative tangible book (-36M) with 2.2B intangibles means 53% of assets are goodwill/intangibles - acquisition write-down risk

Tangible Book ValueGoodwill and Other Intangible Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Debt burden will force margin expansion or asset sales within 18 months

1-3ymed
  • 1.4B debt at 0.64 D/E with 97M annual interest
  • FCF of 62M TTM barely covers debt service
  • Revenue declining -3.5% 3Y CAGR limits organic deleveraging
Interest expense 97M vs EBIT 125M TTMFCF margin 2.7% vs capex needsNet debt 1.0B with 300M cash

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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