IM

Ingles Markets Inc

IMKTA
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Ingles Markets Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-26

Snapshot

  • Trading at 0.84x book value with 336M cash (21% of market cap) - deep value territory for asset-heavy grocer[Price to Book Ratio]
  • FCF collapsed to 8.2M TTM (0.15% margin) vs 159M capex - reinvestment consuming all operating cash[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • EPS declined 27% over 3 years while revenue flat - margin compression accelerating despite stable sales[EPS Growth 3 Year]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 1%At 1.5% margin, any further compression threatens dividend sustainability
  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Declines below 100MWould signal capex cycle ending and FCF recovery beginning
  • Total Revenue 1 Year Growth: Returns to positiveRevenue decline in grocery signals market share loss to competitors

Bull Case

Trading below book (0.84x) with 336M cash and only 0.34 debt/equity - balance sheet optionality for buybacks or M&A

Price to Book RatioCash and EquivalentsDebt to Equity

Asset turnover of 2.1x exceeds 1.3x industry median - efficient capital deployment despite thin margins

Asset Turnover TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

Operating margin 1.5% vs 3.8% industry median with EPS down 27% over 3 years - profitability deteriorating

Operating Margin TTMEPS Growth 3 Year

Revenue declining 3.4% YoY in low-margin grocery - no pricing power to offset cost inflation

Total Revenue 1 Year GrowthGross Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Heavy capex cycle (159M/yr) building long-term asset base but pressuring near-term returns

1-3ymed
  • Capex at 3% of revenue vs 63M industry median
  • PPE of 1.55B is 61% of total assets
  • Operating margin 1.5% leaves no buffer
Capital Expenditure TTM: -159MOperating Margin TTM: 1.5%Asset Turnover TTM: 2.1x
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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