IM

Immersion Corp

IMMR
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Immersion Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • FCF negative (-46.2M TTM) despite positive net income (15.5M) - cash burn from working capital buildup (387M tied up in receivables/inventory)[Free Cash Flow]
  • Revenue 3Y CAGR of 224% vs industry median 3.7% - hypergrowth phase but gross margin (22.3%) trails industry median (33.4%)[Total Revenue 3yr Growth]
  • Trading at 1.0x P/B with 466.6M EV on 474.8M revenue - near asset value despite 4.1% operating margin[P/B Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities: Turn positive for 2 consecutive quartersValidates business model can self-fund; negative -43.7M TTM is existential risk
  • Accounts Receivable: Days sales outstanding drops below 200 daysCurrently ~275 days - collection issues could signal customer distress or revenue quality
  • Gross Margin: Expand above 30%At 22.3% vs 33.4% median, pricing power/cost structure must improve for profitability

Bull Case

Explosive 224% 3Y revenue CAGR with positive operating income (19.3M) suggests scale approaching - margin expansion could accelerate as fixed costs leverage

Total Revenue 3yr GrowthOperating Income

Trading at 1.0x book value with tangible book of 216.5M - downside protected if receivables/inventory convert to cash

P/B RatioTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Severe liquidity risk: 78M cash vs 539M current liabilities (0.14x coverage) with negative operating cash flow forces dilution or debt

Cash and EquivalentsCurrent LiabilitiesCash Flow

Gross margin 22.3% vs industry 33.4% with 1.01x debt/equity - no margin of safety if growth slows or receivables sour

Gross MarginDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Cash conversion crisis: 75% of current assets locked in receivables/inventory threatens liquidity

3-12mhigh
  • Receivables 357M = 75% of annual revenue
  • Inventory 368M vs 78M cash
  • Operating cash flow -43.7M TTM
Working capital 387M consuming cashDebt/equity 1.01x limits flexibilityOnly 78M cash vs 539M current liabilities
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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