IN

ING Groep NV

ING
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ING Groep NV AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • EPS 3Y CAGR of 32% vs revenue 3Y CAGR of 10% - operating leverage driving 3x earnings growth relative to top line[EPS Growth 3Y]
  • Net margin TTM 26.9% on 22.6B revenue with minimal goodwill (1.5B, 3% of equity) - clean balance sheet earnings[Net Margin TTM]
  • Trading at 1.07x tangible book (48B TBV) with 12% ROE TTM - modest premium for above-cost-of-capital returns[Tangible Book Value]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Margin TTM: Falls below 22%Would signal rate benefit reversing faster than cost cuts can offset
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Turns positive >3%Would confirm operating leverage thesis and support multiple expansion
  • ROE TTM: Drops below 10%Below cost of equity would justify discount to book value

Bull Case

Capital return machine: 1.05 DPS TTM on 2.09 EPS = 50% payout ratio with P/E of 13.9x offering 7.2% earnings yield

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMPE RatioEPS TTM

Tangible equity of 48B supports 1.1T asset base at 22x leverage - well-capitalized for European bank standards

Tangible Book ValueTotal AssetsDebt to Equity

Bear Case

Revenue declined 0.9% YoY with flat 2% EPS growth TTM - growth engine stalling after rate tailwind fades

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthEPS Growth 1Y

ROIC of 2.8% TTM on 220B invested capital barely exceeds risk-free rates - limited value creation

ROIC TTMInvested Capital

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion likely to continue as rate environment normalizes and cost discipline holds

1-3ymed
  • Interest income 3.7B provides rate-sensitive upside
  • Net margin expanded to 27% from lower base
  • Minimal restructuring costs (73M) signals stable ops
EPS 3Y CAGR 32% vs revenue 3Y CAGR 10%Net margin TTM 26.9%ROE TTM 12% on 49B equity
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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