IN

Intuit Inc

INTU
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Intuit Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 14.0B is 72% of equity (19.3B) - acquisition-heavy model creates impairment risk if Credit Karma or Mailchimp underperform.[Goodwill]
  • EPS 3Y CAGR of 120% vs industry median 16% - margin expansion and buybacks driving earnings far faster than revenue.[EPS Growth 3Y]
  • FCF TTM of 6.4B on just 129M capex (0.7% of revenue) - asset-light model converts 33% of revenue to free cash.[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 24%Would signal AI investments not translating to efficiency or competitive pressure on pricing.
  • EPS Growth 3Y: Decelerates below 15%Current valuation requires sustained earnings growth - deceleration compresses multiple.
  • Goodwill: Any impairment chargeCredit Karma or Mailchimp writedown would signal acquisition strategy failure.

Bull Case

Dominant franchise in tax/SMB accounting with 80% gross margins and 27% operating margins - regulatory moat and switching costs protect pricing.

Gross Margin TTMOperating Margin TTMROE TTM

Capital-light model (capex <1% revenue) generates 6.4B FCF annually, funding 3.4B buybacks while maintaining 0.35x debt/equity.

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

P/E of 46x and P/S of 9.5x are 1.5x and 2.4x industry medians - priced for perfection with limited margin of safety.

PE RatioPS Ratio

Goodwill/intangibles of 19.1B (58% of assets) from Credit Karma/Mailchimp - tangible book value only 206M.

GoodwillGoodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTangible Book Value

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

AI integration in TurboTax and QuickBooks should sustain 20%+ EPS growth through pricing power and automation.

1-3ymed
  • R&D spend of 3.1B TTM (16% of revenue) focused on AI
  • Subscription model enables annual price increases
  • Operating leverage from 80% gross margins
Operating margin TTM 26.7% vs industry median 0%EPS 3Y CAGR 120% demonstrates executionFCF margin 33% funds continued investment
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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