IT

IT Tech Packaging Inc

ITP

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IT Tech Packaging Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 81.2M is 53% of equity (152M) vs tangible book of 70.8M - impairment risk given -10.9M TTM net loss.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • Trading at 0.05x P/B and 0.04x P/S TTM - 93% below industry median P/S of 0.61x. Market pricing in distress.[Price to Book Ratio]
  • FCF of 3.8M TTM positive despite -10.9M net loss; near-zero capex (-44K) preserves cash but signals no reinvestment.[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin: Rises above 15% for 2 consecutive quartersWould signal cost structure improvement; currently 5.7% vs 20.8% industry median.
  • Total Revenue: Quarterly revenue growth turns positive YoY5Y CAGR of -5.2% must reverse for any turnaround thesis to hold.
  • Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets: Any impairment charge announced81.2M goodwill impairment would eliminate most of 152M equity.

Bull Case

Extreme discount: P/B 0.05x, EV 5.3M vs tangible book 70.8M. Asset liquidation value exceeds market cap by 22x.

Price to Book RatioTangible Book ValueEnterprise Value

Low leverage (debt/equity 0.07) and 8.1M cash provides runway; FCF positive at 3.8M TTM despite losses.

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow

Bear Case

Gross margin 5.7% vs industry 20.8% indicates broken business model; cannot cover 14.3M operating expenses.

Gross MarginOperating ExpenseOperating Income

Goodwill 81.2M (53% of equity) at risk of impairment given sustained losses; would devastate book value.

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsCommon Stockholders EquityNet Income

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Operating losses will persist without revenue stabilization; 5Y revenue CAGR of -5.2% shows structural decline.

1-3yhigh
  • Gross margin 5.7% TTM vs industry median 20.8%
  • Operating margin -12.4% TTM vs industry median 7.4%
  • Revenue 78.9M declining vs industry mean 6.3B
Net loss -10.9M TTM on 78.9M revenueROE -6.9%, ROA -6.0%, ROIC -6.5% all negative TTMAsset turnover 0.43x vs industry median 0.78x

Valuation Context

Caveats

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