JO

JOYY Inc

JOYY
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JOYY Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Net income 1.7B TTM vs pretax loss -207M - massive non-operating gains distorting profitability (83% net margin unsustainable)[Net Income TTM]
  • Goodwill 2.2B is 33% of equity - impairment risk material given -3.3% revenue decline and negative EBITDA TTM[Goodwill]
  • Trading at 0.96x book with 1.3B cash/investments vs 35M debt - balance sheet optionality underpriced[P/B Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Turns positive (>0%)Would signal turnaround in core business after 3 years of decline
  • Normalized EBITDA: Falls below 50M or turns negativeCore operating cash generation already marginal at 61M on 2.1B revenue
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announced2.2B goodwill impairment would crater book value and P/B thesis

Bull Case

Deep value: P/B 0.96x, P/E 14.9x, EV/Revenue 1.6x with net cash position of 1.2B. Tangible book 3.9B exceeds market cap 3.7B.

P/B RatioTangible Book ValueCash and Short-term Investments

Capital returns: 2.82 dividend/share (6% yield implied) sustainable with 845M working capital and minimal debt 35M.

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMWorking CapitalTotal Debt

Bear Case

Structural decline: Revenue -3.3% YoY, -2.7% 3Y CAGR. Core EBITDA negative -207M TTM. Net income inflated by non-recurring items.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthEBITDA TTMPretax Income TTM

Asset quality risk: Goodwill 2.2B + intangibles 2.7B = 41% of assets. Impairment would eliminate equity cushion.

GoodwillGoodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTotal Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Core operating business deteriorating despite headline profitability from one-time gains

1-3yhigh
  • Revenue declining -3.3% YoY with gross profit down -7.2%
  • Operating income 65M masks negative EBITDA of -207M
  • R&D at 253M (12% of revenue) not translating to growth
3Y revenue CAGR -2.7%, 5Y CAGR flat at 0.2%Normalized EBITDA only 61M vs 2.1B revenueGross margin compression from 39% to 36% TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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