JP

JPMorgan Chase & Co

JPM
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JPMorgan Chase & Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Net income TTM of 58B yields 32.4% net margin vs industry median 25.7% - scale advantage in banking profitability[Net Margin TTM]
  • ROE TTM 17.5% vs industry median 10% - 75% premium return on equity despite 4.6T asset base[ROE TTM]
  • Free cash flow TTM negative 119.7B reflects balance sheet growth, not operating weakness - loan book expansion[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Margin TTM: Falls below 28%Would signal NIM compression or credit losses eroding core profitability advantage
  • ROE TTM: Drops below 14%Convergence to industry median would eliminate valuation premium justification
  • Change in Working Capital: Negative exceeds 100BAccelerating balance sheet growth straining liquidity buffers

Bull Case

Dominant scale: 178.8B revenue TTM is 434x industry median (412M), creating unmatched cost absorption and pricing power in capital markets

Total Revenue TTMNet Income TTMTotal Assets

Capital fortress: 340B common equity with tangible book 275.7B provides 15% goodwill cushion and regulatory buffer for stress scenarios

Common Stockholders EquityTangible Book ValueGoodwill

Bear Case

Interest rate sensitivity: 98.3B interest expense TTM (2,889x industry median) magnifies NIM compression risk in falling rate environment

Interest Expense TTMNet DebtTotal Debt

Negative operating cash flow (-45.2B TTM) and working capital drain (-71.7B) signal balance sheet stress requiring continued deposit funding

Cash Flow from Continuing Operating ActivitiesChange in Working Capital

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
62%

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Forward Thesis

Net interest income expansion as rate environment normalizes with 496B debt book repricing

1-3ymed
  • 98.3B interest expense TTM creates leverage to rate moves
  • 303B cash position for deployment flexibility
  • Asset turnover 4.1% leaves room for yield improvement
Interest expense TTM 98.3B vs 34M industry medianTotal assets 4.56T with 1.3% ROAPretax income 72.8B demonstrates earnings power
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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