KR

Karman Holdings Inc

KRMN
Accountable AI Logo

Karman Holdings Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • P/E of 827x vs industry median 21x - priced for perfection despite negative FCF (-42.9M TTM) and 2.6% net margin[P/E Ratio]
  • Goodwill/intangibles of 547M represent 148% of equity (369M) - tangible book value is negative (-178M)[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • Revenue grew 42% YoY to 428M TTM with gross margin expanding to 40% vs industry median 19% - operating leverage emerging[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive for 2 consecutive quartersCurrently -43M; positive FCF validates growth investment and reduces refinancing dependency
  • Interest Expense TTM: Falls below 35M (from 46M current)Interest consumes 70% of operating income; reduction would unlock earnings power
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Decelerates below 20%827x P/E requires hypergrowth; deceleration would trigger severe re-rating

Bull Case

Gross margin 40% is 2x industry median (19%) with 48% YoY gross profit growth - suggests pricing power and differentiated products in aerospace components

Gross Margin TTMGross Profit 1Y Growth

Revenue growing 42% YoY vs industry median 0% - capturing share in defense/aerospace supply chain with operating leverage potential

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

Extreme valuation (P/E 827x, P/S 21x vs median 0.9x) leaves no margin for error - any growth deceleration triggers severe multiple compression

P/E RatioP/S Ratio

Negative FCF (-43M), negative tangible book (-178M), and debt 1.3x equity create refinancing risk if rates stay elevated

Free Cash Flow TTMTangible Book ValueDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

Leverage KRMN's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Interest burden (46M TTM) consuming 70% of operating income will compress unless debt refinanced or paid down

1-3yhigh
  • Total debt 484M at 1.3x D/E
  • Interest expense exceeds net income 4x
  • Cash only 19M vs 475M long-term debt
Interest expense 46M vs operating income 66MNet margin only 2.6% despite 40% gross marginFCF negative at -43M TTM

Aerospace/defense tailwinds could drive margin expansion if revenue scales faster than fixed costs

1-3ymed
  • 42% revenue growth outpacing industry median 0%
  • Gross margin 40% vs 19% industry median
  • Operating margin 15% vs 4% median
Gross profit grew 48% YoY vs revenue 42%Operating income 66M on 428M revenueEBITDA margin 25% (106M/428M)
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Karman Holdings Inc ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage KRMN's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2025 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.