Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Debt/equity of 2.23x with 4.0B total debt vs 1.8B equity; interest expense (178.5M TTM) consumes 60% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
- EPS declined 27% YoY and 26% over 3Y despite 5Y revenue CAGR of 13.7% - margin compression accelerating[EPS Growth 1Y]
- Goodwill of 1.1B is 62% of total equity (1.8B) - impairment risk material if earnings deteriorate further[Goodwill]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 20% — Would signal pricing power erosion; currently 21.5% vs 28% median already weak
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 200M or rises with rates — At 178.5M, already consuming 60% of operating income; refinancing risk
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 400M — Would threaten dividend coverage and deleveraging capacity
Bull Case
FCF of 500M TTM (7.8% yield on market cap) supports dividend (1.47/share) and provides deleveraging optionality
ROE of 16.2% TTM nearly 2x industry median (8.6%) indicates capital efficiency despite leverage concerns
Bear Case
Leverage at 2.2x D/E with 3.9B net debt vs 1.0B EBITDA (3.8x) leaves minimal margin for error if earnings decline further
Tangible book of 362M vs 8.4B market cap (P/TBV 23x) - paying premium for intangibles amid earnings decline
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Margin recovery unlikely without significant cost restructuring or pricing power restoration
- Gross margin 21.5% TTM vs 28% industry median
- Operating costs sticky at 643M despite revenue pressure
- Interest burden limits reinvestment capacity
Public Strategies Rankings
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LW Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$6.05B | — | ||
$9.91B | — | ||
14 | — | ||
$6.47B | +2.3% | — | |
$3.12 | +7.8% | — | |
12.4% | +0.7% | — | |
6.06% | +0.3% | — | |
$650.8M | — | ||
0.23 | +0.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
LW Dividend History
2026
$0.38002025
$1.48002024
$1.44002023
$1.12002022
$0.98002021
$0.94002020
$0.92002019
$0.80002018
$0.76502017
$0.7500LW Stock Splits
LW SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
12/19/25 | 11/23/25 | 10-Q | |
09/30/25 | 08/24/25 | 10-Q | |
07/23/25 | 05/31/25 | Unknown | |
04/03/25 | 02/23/25 | 10-Q | |
12/20/24 | 11/24/24 | 10-Q | |
10/02/24 | 08/25/24 | 10-Q | |
07/24/24 | 05/31/24 | 10-K | |
04/04/24 | 02/25/24 | 10-Q | |
01/04/24 | 11/26/23 | 10-Q | |
10/05/23 | 08/27/23 | 10-Q | |
07/25/23 | 05/31/23 | 10-K | |
04/06/23 | 02/26/23 | 10-Q | |
01/05/23 | 11/27/22 | 10-Q | |
10/05/22 | 08/28/22 | 10-Q | |
07/27/22 | 05/29/22 | 10-K | |
04/07/22 | 02/27/22 | 10-Q | |
01/06/22 | 11/28/21 | 10-Q | |
10/07/21 | 08/29/21 | 10-Q | |
07/27/21 | 05/30/21 | 10-K | |
04/07/21 | 02/28/21 | 10-Q | |
01/07/21 | 11/29/20 | 10-Q | |
10/07/20 | 08/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/28/20 | 05/31/20 | 10-K | |
04/01/20 | 02/23/20 | 10-Q | |
01/03/20 | 11/24/19 | 10-Q | |
10/02/19 | 08/25/19 | 10-Q | |
07/25/19 | 05/26/19 | 10-K | |
04/02/19 | 02/24/19 | 10-Q | |
01/04/19 | 11/25/18 | 10-Q | |
10/02/18 | 08/26/18 | 10-Q | |
07/26/18 | 05/27/18 | 10-K | |
04/05/18 | 02/25/18 | 10-Q | |
01/04/18 | 11/26/17 | 10-Q | |
10/04/17 | 08/27/17 | 10-Q | |
07/25/17 | 05/31/17 | 10-K | |
04/06/17 | 02/26/17 | 10-Q | |
01/10/17 | 11/27/16 | 10-Q | |
10/17/16 | 08/28/16 | IPO-Q | |
10/17/16 | 05/29/16 | IPO-Q | |
07/13/16 | 02/28/16 | 10-12B | |
01/10/17 | 11/29/15 | 10-Q | |
10/17/16 | 08/30/15 | IPO-Q | |
07/25/17 | 05/31/15 | 10-K |