LX

Luxfer Holdings PLC

LXFR
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Luxfer Holdings PLC AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-30

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 11% vs industry median -5% - profitable in an industry where most peers lose money. FCF of 36.3M (9.1% yield on market cap).[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Goodwill of 69.2M is 30% of equity - manageable vs peers. Tangible book of 151.3M supports 0.4x P/TBV valuation.[Goodwill]
  • EPS declined 13% YoY and 11% over 3Y despite flat revenue - margin pressure evident despite industry-leading profitability.[EPS Growth 1Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 20%Already at 22.7% and declining - further compression threatens dividend sustainability
  • Inventory: Exceeds 100M or inventory days riseAt 95.1M already high; buildup signals demand weakness or obsolescence risk
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 25MWould pressure 14.1M annual dividend and 0.8M buyback program

Bull Case

Trading at 12.8x P/E vs industry median 32x with 9.1% FCF yield. Profitable operator in unprofitable industry at deep discount.

PE RatioFree Cash Flow TTMOperating Margin TTM

Asset turnover 1.02x vs industry 0.55x median - capital efficient with low capex needs (1.9% of revenue) preserving cash.

Asset Turnover TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Revenue declined 2.5% over 3Y while EPS fell 11% - operating leverage working against them. Gross margin contracted 3% YoY.

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthEPS Growth 3YGross Profit 1Y Growth

Inventory of 95.1M is 24% of revenue - high for manufacturing. Working capital of 66.3M ties up cash in slow-turning assets.

InventoryWorking Capital

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation sustains 4% dividend yield while funding debt paydown, but growth requires margin stabilization

1-3ymed
  • 36.3M FCF covers 14.1M dividends 2.6x
  • Net debt 37.3M manageable at 0.9x EBITDA
  • Capex only 7.6M (1.9% of revenue)
FCF margin 9.1% TTMDividend payout ratio 48% TTMDebt/equity 0.24
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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