LY

Lyell Immunopharma Inc

LYEL
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Lyell Immunopharma Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-09

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of -165M FCF TTM against 124M cash leaves ~9 months runway without financing[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • R&D spend of 155M TTM is 3,785x revenue (41K) - pure clinical-stage bet with no commercial traction[Research and Development TTM]
  • Trading at 1.6x book (329M equity) but book is 100% tangible - no goodwill impairment risk[P/B Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 80M or rises via financingSub-80M triggers survival mode; equity raise signals dilution magnitude
  • Research and Development TTM: Drops >20% sequentiallyR&D cut signals pipeline prioritization or distressed cost-cutting
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 5MWould indicate meaningful licensing deal or partnership milestone

Bull Case

Clean balance sheet with 0.13 debt/equity and 329M tangible book provides acquisition floor; no goodwill writedown risk

Debt to EquityTangible Book Value

3Y revenue growth of 71% (albeit from near-zero base) signals early partnership/licensing traction

Total Revenue 3Y Growth

Bear Case

9-month cash runway at current burn forces near-term dilution or asset sale; no path to profitability visible

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTM

ROE of -76% and ROA of -63% TTM rank among worst in biotech; capital destruction accelerating

ROE TTMROA TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Dilutive financing likely within 12 months as cash runway insufficient for clinical milestones

3-12mhigh
  • 124M cash vs 165M annual burn rate
  • No meaningful revenue to offset OpEx
  • Clinical trials require sustained investment
FCF TTM: -165.5MCash: 123.6MRevenue TTM: 41K (immaterial)
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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