MA

MAIA Biotechnology Inc

MAIA
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MAIA Biotechnology Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Zero revenue pre-clinical biotech burning 15.7M FCF TTM with only 10.9M cash - under 9 months runway at current burn rate.[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Equity nearly wiped: 41.7K book value vs 11.7M liabilities. P/B of 956x reflects pure option value on pipeline.[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • R&D of 15.6M TTM is 63% of total opex - focused spend, but no revenue to fund it.[Research and Development]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 6MWould signal imminent financing at likely distressed terms
  • Shares Outstanding: Increases >20% in single quarterConfirms dilutive raise - watch for terms and use of proceeds
  • Research and Development: Drops below 10M annualizedWould indicate pipeline slowdown or cash conservation mode

Bull Case

39.8M market cap on pre-revenue biotech offers asymmetric upside if clinical trials succeed. EV of 29M is modest for any viable oncology asset.

Market CapEnterprise Value

R&D-focused burn (63% of opex) suggests capital efficiency vs peers. Working capital positive at 1.8M provides short-term buffer.

Research and DevelopmentWorking Capital

Bear Case

Sub-9-month cash runway with zero revenue guarantees dilution. Current 33.2M shares could double or triple on next raise.

Cash and EquivalentsShares Outstanding

Book value of 41.7K vs 11.7M liabilities means equity is effectively zero. Any setback triggers existential risk.

Common Stockholders EquityTotal Liabilities

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Dilutive financing within 6-9 months is near-certain given cash runway constraints.

3-12mhigh
  • 10.9M cash vs 15.7M annual burn
  • Already raised 3.8M via stock issuance TTM
  • No debt capacity with 41.7K equity
FCF TTM: -15.7MCash: 10.9MNet stock issuance: 3.8M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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