MG

McGrath RentCorp

MGRC
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McGrath RentCorp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-31

Snapshot

  • PPE of 1.6B is 69% of total assets - asset-heavy rental model with 16.4% capex/revenue TTM drives FCF volatility[Property, Plant & Equipment]
  • Operating margin TTM 25.0% vs industry median 22.2% with ROE 12.7% vs median 21.1% - efficient ops but below-average capital returns[Operating Margin]
  • Goodwill 332M is 28% of equity - manageable impairment risk vs asset-light peers with 80%+ goodwill exposure[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Exceeds 180M (20% of revenue)Signals fleet refresh acceleration that compresses FCF below 30M
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 22% (industry median)Margin premium erosion removes valuation support at 2.8x P/S
  • Accounts Receivable: DSO exceeds 100 days (currently ~95 days)Collection delays with 7M cash creates working capital strain

Bull Case

Operating margin 25% with EBITDA margin 36% (337M TTM) generates consistent cash despite asset intensity - 6.3x interest coverage provides debt capacity for growth

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTMInterest Expense TTM

Dividend yield 1.8% (1.92/share TTM) with 32% payout ratio and 38% 7yr avg signals sustainable shareholder returns with reinvestment flexibility

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMDividend Payout Ratio Avg 7yr

Bear Case

P/S ratio 2.8x vs industry median 1.3x - trading at 2.2x peer valuation despite below-median ROE of 12.7% vs 21.1%

P/S RatioROE TTM

Negative working capital -38M with minimal cash (7M) creates liquidity risk if rental demand drops during economic slowdown

Working CapitalCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

FCF margin compression likely as fleet refresh cycle accelerates capex from 16% to 20%+ of revenue

1-3ymed
  • PPE at 1.6B requires ongoing maintenance capex
  • Capex TTM -153M already 2.9x depreciation of 27M
  • Rental fleet age drives replacement timing
FCF TTM 59M vs CFO 212M - 72% consumed by capexCapex/revenue 16.4% vs industry median 40%Depreciation only 2.9% of revenue TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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