MV

MV Oil Trust

MVO
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MV Oil Trust AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 92.7% TTM vs industry median 18% - pure pass-through royalty trust with minimal overhead (G&A only 201K).[Operating Margin TTM]
  • 100% dividend payout (7yr avg) with $1.03/share TTM on $0.22 book value - P/B of 6x reflects income stream, not assets.[Dividend Payout Ratio Avg 7yr]
  • Revenue down 35% over 3yr while EPS down 55% 1yr - direct oil price exposure with zero hedging or operational control.[Total Revenue 3yr Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Falls below 10M annuallySignals accelerating reserve depletion or sustained low oil prices threatening distribution sustainability.
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Drops below $0.80/shareAt current 15.5M market cap, yield compression below 50% destroys the sole investment thesis.
  • PPE: Declines below 1MRemaining proved reserves approaching exhaustion - trust termination timeline becomes visible.

Bull Case

P/E of 1.3x vs industry median 12x implies 77% yield if distributions maintained - extreme income vehicle for oil bulls.

PE RatioDividend Payout Ratio Avg 7yr

Zero debt and 92.7% margins mean no bankruptcy risk - survives any oil price environment, just with lower distributions.

Debt to EquityOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

Depleting reserves with no reinvestment - PPE of 1.4M and negative FCF (-357K TTM) signals terminal decline of underlying asset.

Free Cash FlowPPE

Revenue down 35% 3yr, EPS down 55% 1yr - commodity price decline directly destroys unitholder value with no operational hedge.

Total Revenue 3yr GrowthEPS Growth 1yr

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Distribution yield will track oil prices with 90%+ correlation given trust structure.

3-12mhigh
  • 92.7% operating margin means nearly all revenue flows to unitholders
  • Zero debt provides no leverage buffer against commodity swings
  • Depleting asset base (PPE 1.4M) limits long-term value
100% payout ratio maintained across 5yr and 7yr averagesRevenue 3yr CAGR -35% mirrors oil price declineFCF negative (-357K TTM) as distributions exceed cash generation
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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