NE

Neonode Inc

NEON
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Neonode Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Revenue collapsed 49% YoY (TTM 2.2M) yet net income hit 9.0M - driven by 15.5M non-operating gains masking core business decline[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Gross margin 96.5% TTM is exceptional but on shrinking 2.2M revenue base - high-margin business that can't scale[Gross Margin TTM]
  • FCF negative (-5.9M TTM) despite reported profits - cash burn consuming 51% of cash position annually[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue stabilizes above 600KRevenue decline must stop before any bull case materializes
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 6M (12-month runway)Would force dilutive financing or strategic alternatives
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive or burn rate halvesCurrent burn unsustainable - signals operational turnaround

Bull Case

P/E of 4.3x vs industry median 32.4x appears cheap, but earnings quality questionable - 15.5M other operating items drove profitability, not core ops

PE RatioOther Operating Expenses

Near-zero debt (0.01 D/E) and 26.8M equity provides runway for turnaround if management can stabilize revenue

Debt to EquityTotal Equity

Bear Case

Revenue in freefall (-49% YoY, -29% 3Y CAGR) with no signs of stabilization - structural demand problem, not cyclical

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Cash runway ~2 years at current burn rate (-5.9M FCF vs 11.6M cash) - dilution or asset sale likely without turnaround

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Core business viability at risk without revenue stabilization within 12 months

3-12mhigh
  • Revenue down 49% YoY, 29% 3Y CAGR decline
  • Cash burn of 5.9M vs 11.6M cash remaining
  • Operating expenses exceed revenue by 2.7x
TTM revenue 2.2M vs OpEx 5.9MFCF -5.9M on 11.6M cash3Y revenue CAGR -29%
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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