NP

Northpointe Bancshares Inc

NPB
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Northpointe Bancshares Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Net margin TTM 32.1% vs industry median 25.8% - top-quartile profitability despite 2.24x debt/equity leverage[Net Margin TTM]
  • Interest expense TTM 219.5M exceeds total revenue 220.2M - spread banking model with 101.8M interest income[Interest Expense TTM]
  • FCF TTM 79.5M on 2.6M capex - 96.8% cash conversion with minimal reinvestment needs[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Interest Margin: Compression below 3%Core spread income drives 32% net margin - compression signals earnings decline
  • Non-Performing Loans: Rise above 1.5% of assets11x leverage means small credit losses disproportionately impact equity
  • Dividend Payout: Increase from current 0.05/share (2.8% of EPS)Signals management confidence in earnings sustainability

Bull Case

Trading at 1.1x P/B vs 17.6 book value/share with 13.1% ROE - discount to intrinsic value if earnings sustain

P/B RatioROE TTMBook Value Per Share

FCF yield 12% (79.5M FCF / 664M market cap) with negligible capex - excess capital for dividends or buybacks

Free Cash Flow TTMMarket Cap TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Interest expense 219.5M nearly equals revenue 220.2M - 100bp rate increase materially compresses margins

Interest Expense TTMTotal Revenue TTMTotal Debt

Total assets 6.8B on 623.5M equity (11x leverage) - limited buffer for credit losses in downturn

Total AssetsCommon Stockholders EquityDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

ROE compression likely as rate environment normalizes, pressuring 13.1% TTM returns

1-3ymed
  • Interest expense 219.5M highly rate-sensitive
  • Net debt 979M at 1.57x equity
  • Spread income dependent on yield curve
ROE 13.1% vs median 10% - above-average but vulnerableDebt/equity 2.24x amplifies rate impactInterest income 101.8M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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