NX

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust

NXDT
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NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Negative revenue TTM (-32.5M) signals asset liquidation mode, not operating business - fundamentally different from typical REIT[Total Revenue TTM]
  • ROE of -12.3% TTM vs industry median +4.5% - destroying shareholder value while peers generate returns[ROE TTM]
  • Debt/equity 0.43 is conservative but 317M debt vs 5.3M cash creates refinancing risk if losses continue[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 3M or rises above 50MBelow 3M signals liquidity crisis; above 50M suggests successful asset sales
  • Total Debt: Increases above 350M or decreases below 250MDebt increase signals distress financing; decrease confirms deleveraging thesis
  • Sale of Investment: Any significant proceeds (>25M)Asset monetization is the only path to value realization - 0 sales TTM is concerning

Bull Case

Tangible book value of 728M with low leverage (0.43 D/E) provides floor - if assets sold at book, equity holders recover full value

Tangible Book ValueDebt to Equity

Minimal goodwill (11M, 1.5% of equity) means book value is mostly hard assets - less impairment risk than typical REIT

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsCommon Stockholders Equity

Bear Case

Negative revenue and -97M net loss TTM with only 5.3M cash - requires asset sales or dilution to survive 12+ months

Total Revenue TTMNet Income TTMCash and Equivalents

ROIC of -8.6% TTM destroys capital - every dollar invested loses 9 cents annually, no path to profitability visible

ROIC TTMInvested Capital

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Asset monetization strategy will determine equity value - NAV discount/premium is the only metric that matters

1-3ylow
  • 366.7M PPE on books needs orderly liquidation
  • 739M book equity vs market cap determines upside
  • Management execution on asset sales
Negative revenue indicates wind-down7.7M equity issuance suggests capital needsZero dividends despite REIT structure
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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