NY

New York Times Co

NYT
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New York Times Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Zero debt with 17.6% ROE TTM and 536.5M FCF - self-funding digital transformation without leverage[Debt to Equity]
  • Operating margin 15.7% TTM vs industry median of 0% - rare profitable media company[Operating Margin]
  • FCF yield 4.6% (536.5M/11.6B market cap) with capex only 1.3% of revenue TTM[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin: Falls below 12%Would signal digital transition costs exceeding print savings, invalidating margin thesis
  • Free Cash Flow: Declines >20% YoYFCF funds buybacks and dividends; decline would pressure capital return story
  • Research and Development: Drops below 8% of revenueR&D cuts would signal reduced digital investment, risking competitive position

Bull Case

Subscription flywheel: 536.5M FCF TTM funds content investment, driving subscriber growth with zero debt risk. P/CF 20.3x reasonable for recurring revenue model.

Free Cash FlowDebt to EquityPCF Ratio

Profitability outlier: 15.7% operating margin vs 0% median in structurally challenged industry. Brand moat enables premium pricing.

Operating MarginROEROIC

Bear Case

Valuation stretched: P/E 33.3x and P/B 8.7x price in execution perfection. P/S 4.2x vs 3.9x median despite slower growth profile.

PE RatioPB RatioPS Ratio

Goodwill 409M is 21% of equity - acquisition-driven growth carries impairment risk if subscriber churn accelerates.

GoodwillGoodwill and Other Intangible Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Digital subscription model should sustain 15%+ operating margins as legacy print costs decline

1-3ymed
  • R&D spend 259M TTM (9.4% of revenue) signals digital investment
  • Minimal capex (35.5M TTM) vs legacy media peers
  • Zero debt enables reinvestment flexibility
Operating margin 15.7% TTM vs 0% industry medianFCF margin 19.5% TTM exceeds net margin 12.3%Debt/equity 0 vs industry reliance on leverage
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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