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Realty Income Corp

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Realty Income Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Revenue 5.5B TTM is 81x industry median (68M) - dominant scale in fragmented REIT sector with 915M shares outstanding[Total Revenue]
  • Debt/equity 0.74 with 28.9B total debt vs 39B equity - interest expense 1.1B TTM consumes 45% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
  • Dividend yield 5.6% (3.21/share TTM) vs 2.2x EPS (1.48) - payout ratio 216% funded by depreciation add-backs[Dividends Paid Per Share]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense: Exceeds 1.2B TTM or EBITDA coverage falls below 3.5x29B debt refinancing at higher rates compresses dividend coverage
  • Impairment of Capital Assets: Rises above 150M annuallySignals tenant defaults in retail-heavy portfolio
  • Free Cash Flow: Falls below 3B TTMDividend sustainability requires FCF exceeding 2.9B annual payout

Bull Case

Triple-net lease model delivers 92% gross margin TTM with minimal capex - FCF equals operating cash flow (3.8B) as tenants bear property costs

Gross MarginFree Cash FlowOperating Margin

Monthly dividend aristocrat with 5.6% yield backed by 4.6B EBITDA TTM - interest coverage 4.3x despite 29B debt load

EBITDAInterest ExpenseDividends Paid Per Share

Bear Case

P/E 38.6x is 3.2x industry median (12x) - premium valuation assumes perpetual dividend growth despite 0.08 asset turnover

PE RatioAsset Turnover

Net margin 17% vs industry median 83% reflects REIT accounting; 75M impairment TTM signals tenant stress risk

Net MarginImpairment of Capital Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF of 3.8B TTM sustainably covers 2.9B annual dividend despite 216% EPS payout ratio

1-3yhigh
  • REIT structure adds back 632M depreciation to cash flow
  • 92% gross margin on triple-net leases
  • Scale enables 1.1B interest expense absorption
FCF 3.8B vs dividends paid 738M quarterlyOperating margin 45% vs industry 23%EBITDA 4.6B covers interest 4.3x
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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