Onconetix Inc
ONCOOnconetix Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Goodwill of 18.2M is 539% of equity (3.4M) - single impairment event would wipe out entire book value[Goodwill]
- Working capital -15M with only 837K cash vs 16.3M current liabilities - acute liquidity crisis[Working Capital]
- TTM revenue 1.2M generating -49M net loss - burning 40x revenue annually[Net Income TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 500K or new equity raise announced — At -7.5M burn rate, sub-500K cash means weeks of runway
- Goodwill: Any impairment charge recorded — 18.2M goodwill vs 3.4M equity - impairment = negative equity
- Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue exceeds 500K — Would signal commercial traction and potential path to viability
Bull Case
Gross margin 85% TTM vs industry median 51% suggests valuable IP if scale achieved. Revenue 1.2M is early-stage but positive.
Enterprise value 1.3M implies market pricing near-zero probability of success - asymmetric upside if any product gains traction.
Bear Case
Tangible book value -14.8M means equity is entirely goodwill. Any impairment triggers insolvency. Debt/equity 0.05 misleading.
Operating loss -7M on 1.2M revenue (-575% margin) with R&D near zero suggests no path to profitability.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Company faces existential funding crisis within 6 months without capital raise
- Cash burn of 7.5M TTM vs 837K remaining
- Current liabilities 16.3M exceed total assets ex-goodwill
- Already raised 9.3M equity TTM, diluting shareholders
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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ONCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$1.98M | — | ||
$1.31M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$1.22M | -34.6% | — | |
$1,298.87 | — | ||
-575% | +265.5% | — | |
-4,016% | -1256.9% | — | |
$-7.51M | — | ||
-2.6 | -29.8% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ONCO Dividend History
ONCO Stock Splits
ONCO SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/13/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/14/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
06/12/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
06/02/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
12/10/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/29/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/20/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
04/11/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/17/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
10/20/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/12/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
03/09/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/14/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/15/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/13/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
03/31/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
02/23/22 | 09/30/21 | 424B4 | |
08/15/22 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/13/22 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/23/22 | 12/31/20 | 424B4 |