OP

Opera Ltd

OPRA
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Opera Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 430M is 45% of equity (948M) - acquisition-heavy strategy creates impairment risk if browser market share erodes[Goodwill]
  • Operating margin 15.6% TTM vs industry median -2.4% - profitable in a sector where most peers lose money[Operating Margin TTM]
  • FCF of 85.6M TTM (14.7% margin) funds 0.80/share dividend at 45% payout - sustainable capital return[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • EPS Growth 1Y: Falls below 0% or accelerates above 15%Current 3% signals inflection - direction determines if multiple expands or contracts
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge or increase above 50% of equityTangible book only 418M vs 948M equity - impairment destroys shareholder value
  • Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 12% or rises above 18%Margin trajectory determines if OPRA is scaling or losing competitive position

Bull Case

Profitable niche player: 15.6% operating margin TTM in industry where median is -2.4%. Revenue 21% 3Y CAGR with minimal capex (2.3% of revenue) creates compounding FCF machine.

Operating Margin TTMTotal Revenue 3Y GrowthCapital Expenditure TTM

Fortress balance sheet: 119M cash, 8.8M total debt (0.9% D/E), 132M working capital. Can self-fund growth and dividends indefinitely without dilution.

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsWorking Capital

Bear Case

Goodwill 430M (45% of equity) from acquisitions - browser market share loss or AI disruption could trigger material write-downs destroying book value.

GoodwillTangible Book Value

Slowing growth: EPS growth 1Y only 3% vs 5Y CAGR 27%. P/E 16x at industry median suggests market already pricing in deceleration.

EPS Growth 1YEPS Growth 5YPE Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

AI integration in browser could accelerate monetization, driving margin expansion to 20%+ operating margin

1-3ymed
  • Revenue 3Y CAGR 21% with operating leverage
  • Near-zero debt (0.9% D/E) enables R&D investment
  • Gross margin 65% TTM provides pricing power
Operating margin 15.6% TTM up from negative industry medianFCF conversion 86% of operating cash flow TTMEPS growth 5Y CAGR 27%
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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