Old Republic International Corp
ORIOld Republic International Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- FCF TTM of 1.3B equals 100% of operating cash flow - zero capex business model generates pure cash[Free Cash Flow]
- Receivables of 9.8B represent 112% of revenue TTM - typical for insurance float but concentration risk[Accounts Receivable]
- EPS down 16% YoY despite 4.4% 5Y revenue CAGR - margin compression underway[EPS Growth 1Y]
Watch Triggers
- EPS Growth 1Y: Negative growth persists >2 consecutive quarters — Would signal structural margin issue vs cyclical; dividend at risk if EPS falls below 2.50
- Net Margin: Falls below 8% TTM — Currently 9.5% vs 10.9% median; further compression invalidates quality thesis
- Dividend Payout Ratio: Exceeds 50% for 2+ quarters — 37.5% 7Y avg provides cushion; breach signals dividend cut risk
Bull Case
Zero-capex FCF machine: 1.3B FCF on 8.7B revenue (14.8% yield) with debt/equity of just 0.25 enables consistent capital returns
Trading at 1.8x book vs tangible equity of 6.4B - no goodwill impairment risk, clean balance sheet
Bear Case
EPS declining 16% YoY while 5Y EPS CAGR only 6% - recent earnings power deteriorating faster than long-term trend
ROE 13% and ROIC 10% lag industry medians of 14.5% and 6.3% respectively - capital efficiency middling
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Dividend sustainability at risk if EPS decline continues beyond cyclical normalization
- 37.5% 7Y avg payout ratio leaves buffer but EPS fell 16% YoY
- FCF of 1.3B covers 284M dividends+buybacks 4.5x currently
- Insurance cycle turning could compress underwriting margins further
Public Strategies Rankings
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ORI Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$10.82B | — | ||
$12.17B | — | ||
13 | — | ||
$8.75B | +7.1% | — | |
$3.34 | -4.3% | — | |
0% | — | ||
9.53% | -2.0% | — | |
$1.29B | +11.8% | — | |
0.13 | -2.2% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ORI Dividend History
2026
$2.50002025
$3.16002024
$1.06002023
$0.98002022
$1.92002021
$3.38002020
$0.84002019
$1.80002018
$1.78002017
$0.76002016
$0.75002015
$0.74002014
$0.73002013
$0.72002012
$0.71002011
$0.70002010
$0.69002009
$0.68002008
$0.67002007
$0.63002006
$0.59002005
$1.31202004
$0.40242003
$0.89062002
$0.33622001
$0.31462000
$0.2932ORI Stock Splits
ORI SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
10/31/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/01/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/02/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/27/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
11/01/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/02/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/03/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/28/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/03/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/07/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/05/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/24/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/04/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/05/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/06/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/28/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/05/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
07/30/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
04/30/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
03/01/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
10/30/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/31/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/08/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/28/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/01/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/07/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/08/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/28/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/02/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/03/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/09/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
02/28/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/03/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/04/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/09/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/28/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/04/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/05/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/06/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/29/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
10/30/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
07/31/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/01/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
03/02/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
10/31/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/01/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/07/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
03/03/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
11/01/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
08/02/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
05/09/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
03/01/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
11/02/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
08/03/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
05/08/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/29/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
11/09/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | |
08/02/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | |
05/10/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/28/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
11/09/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
08/09/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
05/05/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
03/01/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
11/06/09 | 09/30/09 | 10-Q | |
07/31/09 | 06/30/09 | 10-Q | |
04/28/09 | 03/31/09 | 10-Q | |
02/27/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-K | |
10/31/08 | 09/30/08 | 10-Q | |
08/07/08 | 06/30/08 | 10-Q | |
05/02/08 | 03/31/08 | 10-Q | |
02/26/08 | 12/31/07 | 10-K | |
11/02/07 | 09/30/07 | 10-Q | |
08/03/07 | 06/30/07 | 10-Q | |
05/07/07 | 03/31/07 | 10-Q | |
03/01/07 | 12/31/06 | 10-K | |
11/06/06 | 09/30/06 | 10-Q | |
08/09/06 | 06/30/06 | 10-Q | |
05/10/06 | 03/31/06 | 10-Q | |
03/01/06 | 12/31/05 | 10-K | |
11/07/05 | 09/30/05 | 10-Q | |
08/09/05 | 06/30/05 | 10-Q | |
05/10/05 | 03/31/05 | 10-Q | |
03/16/05 | 12/31/04 | 10-K | |
11/08/04 | 09/30/04 | 10-Q | |
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03/11/04 | 12/31/03 | 10-K | |
11/12/03 | 09/30/03 | 10-Q | |
08/08/03 | 06/30/03 | 10-Q | |
05/08/03 | 03/31/03 | 10-Q | |
03/26/03 | 12/31/02 | 10-K | |
11/12/02 | 09/30/02 | 10-Q | |
08/09/02 | 06/30/02 | 10-Q | |
05/09/02 | 03/31/02 | 10-Q | |
03/28/02 | 12/31/01 | 10-K405 | |
11/09/01 | 09/30/01 | 10-Q | |
08/09/01 | 06/30/01 | 10-Q | |
05/10/01 | 03/31/01 | 10-Q | |
03/28/01 | 12/31/00 | 10-K405 | |
11/13/00 | 09/30/00 | 10-Q | |
08/11/00 | 06/30/00 | 10-Q | |
05/11/00 | 03/31/00 | 10-Q |